Mathare United vs Tusker prediction: kick-off is at 14:00 EAT on Thursday 29 October 2026. The model gives both teams an equal chance, with Mathare United and Tusker each having a 34% probability of winning.
Prediction today
Mathare United vs Tusker prediction today, with fair odds
Home win Mathare United 2.65, draw 2.72, away win Tusker 2.65: that is the Paripesa 1X2 line.
GG at 2.29, NG at 1.53. A 12.2% margin sits inside the 1X2 line, so every implied chance reads a little higher than the fair one.
Picks for your betslip
For the result, Mathare United or draw (1X) carries 66% on the model. The 1.35 line implies 74%, higher than the model chance, which makes it a short price.
The GG/NG pick is nG, a clean sheet for one side with 60% behind it. At 1.53 the bookmaker implies 65%, above the model figure, so the price is on the short side.
| Tip | Model | Odds | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathare United or draw (1X) | 66% | 1.35 | 74% | -8 |
| NG, a clean sheet for one side | 60% | 1.53 | 65% | -5 |
| Pick | Odds | Return | After 20% tax |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mathare United or draw (1X) | 1.35 | KSh 135 | KSh 128 |
| NG, a clean sheet for one side | 1.53 | KSh 153 | KSh 142 |
Recent results
Mathare United and Tusker results before this game
Mathare United have not won in their last three KPL games, drawing two and losing one, scoring no goals and conceding one. Tusker have one win, one draw and one loss in their last three matches across competitions, scoring three and conceding two goals.
Mathare United vs Tusker H2H
The last five meetings show a balanced record with Mathare United and Tusker each winning two games, and one match drawn. The most recent match ended 3-1 in favour of Mathare United on 14 February 2026.
KPL standings for both sides
Mathare United sit 16th with 2 points from three games, scoring no goals and conceding one. Tusker are 11th with 3 points from one game, scoring two and conceding none.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 11 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
Mathare United vs Tusker: time, tip and odds
What time is Mathare United vs Tusker in Kenya?
Mathare United and Tusker kick off at 14:00 Kenya time (EAT) on Thursday 29 October 2026.
What is the Mathare United vs Tusker prediction today?
We go with Mathare United or draw (1X), which the model rates at 66%. It splits the result 34% for Mathare United, 33% for a draw and 34% for Tusker, so read the pick as a chance rather than a sure win.
What are the Mathare United vs Tusker odds?
At 00:00 EAT, Paripesa had Mathare United at 2.65, the draw at 2.72 and Tusker at 2.65. Lines shift before kick-off, so set them against the fair odds in the pick table.
GG or NG in Mathare United vs Tusker?
NG: the model expects at least one blank scoresheet, at 60%.