Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich prediction: kick-off is at 23:00 EAT on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid. Bayern Munich are the model favourites with a 41% win chance.
Prediction today
Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich prediction today, with fair odds
Paripesa lists Atletico Madrid at 2.78 for the win, 4.01 for the draw and Bayern Munich at 2.46.
For both teams to score, GG is 1.36 and NG is 2.94. Take out the 1.6% margin Paripesa builds into the 1X2 and you reach the fair chances the model compares against.
Picks for your betslip
Bayern Munich or draw (X2) heads the betslip at 66%. Odds of 1.50 imply 67%, close to the model number.
On goals the lean is over 2.5 goals, at 50%.
Both teams to score leans gG, goals at both ends, rated 63%. At 1.36 the bookmaker implies 74%, above the model figure, so the price is on the short side.
| Tip | Model | Odds | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich or draw (X2) | 66% | 1.50 | 67% | -1 |
| GG, goals at both ends | 63% | 1.36 | 74% | -11 |
| Pick | Odds | Return | After 20% tax |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich or draw (X2) | 1.50 | KSh 150 | KSh 140 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 fair | KSh 200 | KSh 180 |
| GG, goals at both ends | 1.36 | KSh 136 | KSh 129 |
Recent results
Atletico Madrid and Bayern Munich results before this game
Atletico Madrid have won four and drawn one of their last five games, scoring seven and conceding one. Bayern Munich have won three and drawn two of their last five, netting 19 goals and conceding seven. Both sides show strong recent form in attack and defence.
Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich H2H
Over the last five meetings, Bayern Munich have won three, Atletico Madrid one, with one draw. Their latest meeting ended 1-1 on 1 December 2020.
Champions League standings for both sides
Atletico Madrid sit 16th in LaLiga with 4 points from 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 goals. Bayern Munich are 14th in the Bundesliga with 5 points from 3 games and have scored 10 while conceding 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 14 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 |
Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich: time, tip and odds
What time is Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich in Kenya?
Atletico Madrid and Bayern Munich kick off at 23:00 Kenya time (EAT) on Tuesday 3 November 2026. The venue is Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid.
What is the Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich prediction today?
We go with Bayern Munich or draw (X2), which the model rates at 66%. It splits the result 34% for Atletico Madrid, 25% for a draw and 41% for Bayern Munich, so read the pick as a chance rather than a sure win.
What are the Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich odds?
At 06:40 EAT, Paripesa had Atletico Madrid at 2.78, the draw at 4.01 and Bayern Munich at 2.46. Lines shift before kick-off, so set them against the fair odds in the pick table.
GG or NG in Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich?
GG: the model gives both sides a goal 63% of the time.