Bournemouth vs Leeds United prediction: kick-off is at 18:00 EAT on Saturday 31 October 2026 at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth. The model favours Bournemouth to win with a 39% chance against Leeds United's 32%.
Prediction today
Bournemouth vs Leeds United prediction today, with fair odds
Home win Bournemouth 2.16, draw 3.56, away win Leeds United 3.70: that is the Paripesa 1X2 line. On the goals line, the over sits at 1.94 and the under at 2.00.
GG at 1.68, NG at 2.08. A 1.6% margin sits inside the 1X2 line, so every implied chance reads a little higher than the fair one.
Picks for your betslip
For the result, Bournemouth or draw (1X) carries 68% on the model. The 1.32 line implies 76%, higher than the model chance, which makes it a short price.
The goals line points to under 2.5 goals, 55% on the model. At 2.00 the bookmaker implies 50%, under the model figure, so the price is generous.
The GG/NG pick is gG, goals at both ends with 51% behind it. Odds of 1.68 imply 60%, more than the model allows, so the return is thin.
| Tip | Model | Odds | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth or draw (1X) | 68% | 1.32 | 76% | -8 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 2.00 | 50% | +5 |
| GG, goals at both ends | 51% | 1.68 | 60% | -9 |
| Pick | Odds | Return | After 20% tax |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth or draw (1X) | 1.32 | KSh 132 | KSh 126 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | KSh 200 | KSh 180 |
| GG, goals at both ends | 1.68 | KSh 168 | KSh 154 |
Recent results
Bournemouth and Leeds United results before this game
Bournemouth have won their last five games, including a 3-0 victory at Manchester United and 3-0 wins in UEFA Europa League matches. Leeds United's recent form shows one win, three draws, and one loss, scoring six and conceding four in those games.
Bournemouth vs Leeds United H2H
In their last five meetings, Bournemouth won once, Leeds United twice, and two matches ended in draws. The latest meeting on 22 April 2026 finished 2-2 at Bournemouth.
Premier League standings for both sides
Bournemouth sit 13th with nine points from eight games, scoring 12 and conceding 13 goals. Leeds United are 7th with 11 points from eight games, with nine goals scored and six conceded.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Leeds United | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
Bournemouth vs Leeds United: time, tip and odds
What time is Bournemouth vs Leeds United in Kenya?
Bournemouth and Leeds United kick off at 18:00 Kenya time (EAT) on Saturday 31 October 2026. The venue is Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth.
What is the Bournemouth vs Leeds United prediction today?
We go with Bournemouth or draw (1X), which the model rates at 68%. It splits the result 39% for Bournemouth, 28% for a draw and 32% for Leeds United, so read the pick as a chance rather than a sure win.
What are the Bournemouth vs Leeds United odds?
At 00:00 EAT, Paripesa had Bournemouth at 2.16, the draw at 3.56 and Leeds United at 3.70. Lines shift before kick-off, so set them against the fair odds in the pick table.
GG or NG in Bournemouth vs Leeds United?
GG: the model gives both sides a goal 51% of the time.