Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction: kickoff is Monday 2 November 2026 at 20:30 EAT at Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia. The model favours Sassuolo with a 42% chance to win over Fiorentina's 35%.
Prediction today
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction today, with fair odds
Paripesa lists Sassuolo at 2.94 for the win, 3.79 for the draw and Fiorentina at 2.43.
For both teams to score, GG is 1.46 and NG is 2.56. Take out the 1.6% margin Paripesa builds into the 1X2 and you reach the fair chances the model compares against.
Picks for your betslip
Sassuolo or draw (1X) heads the betslip at 65%. Odds of 1.63 imply 61%; the model sees more than that, which makes this the value leg.
On goals the lean is over 2.5 goals, at 80%.
Both teams to score leans gG, goals at both ends, rated 68%. A price of 1.46 works out to 68%, in line with the model.
| Tip | Model | Odds | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo or draw (1X) | 65% | 1.63 | 61% | +4 |
| GG, goals at both ends | 68% | 1.46 | 68% | 0 |
| Pick | Odds | Return | After 20% tax |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo or draw (1X) | 1.63 | KSh 163 | KSh 150 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.25 fair | KSh 125 | KSh 120 |
| GG, goals at both ends | 1.46 | KSh 146 | KSh 137 |
Recent results
Sassuolo and Fiorentina results before this game
Sassuolo has struggled recently with four losses and one draw in their last five Serie A games, scoring six and conceding fifteen. Fiorentina's form includes one win, one draw, and three losses, scoring fourteen and conceding nine in the same period.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina H2H
Over their last five meetings, Sassuolo and Fiorentina have each won two games, with one match ending in a draw. Their latest meeting finished 0-0 on 26 April 2026.
Serie A standings for both sides
Sassuolo is 15th in Serie A with eight points from nine games, scoring 14 and conceding 22. Fiorentina sits 17th with five points, scoring 11 and conceding 21 goals.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: time, tip and odds
What time is Sassuolo vs Fiorentina in Kenya?
Sassuolo and Fiorentina kick off at 20:30 Kenya time (EAT) on Monday 2 November 2026. The venue is Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia.
What is the Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction today?
We go with Sassuolo or draw (1X), which the model rates at 65%. It splits the result 42% for Sassuolo, 23% for a draw and 35% for Fiorentina, so read the pick as a chance rather than a sure win.
What are the Sassuolo vs Fiorentina odds?
At 00:00 EAT, Paripesa had Sassuolo at 2.94, the draw at 3.79 and Fiorentina at 2.43. Lines shift before kick-off, so set them against the fair odds in the pick table.
GG or NG in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
GG: the model gives both sides a goal 68% of the time.