Tusker vs Mara Sugar prediction: kick-off is Monday 2 November 2026 at 15:00 EAT. The model favours Tusker to win with a 38% chance, while a draw stands at 33% and Mara Sugar a 29% chance.
Prediction today
Tusker vs Mara Sugar prediction today, with fair odds
Paripesa lists Tusker at 2.37 for the win, 2.76 for the draw and Mara Sugar at 3.08.
For both teams to score, GG is 2.18 and NG is 1.58. Take out the 10.9% margin Paripesa builds into the 1X2 and you reach the fair chances the model compares against.
Picks for your betslip
Tusker or draw (1X) heads the betslip at 71%. Odds of 1.28 imply 78%, more than the model allows, so the return is thin.
Both teams to score leans nG, a clean sheet for one side, rated 58%. The 1.58 line implies 63%, higher than the model chance, which makes it a short price.
| Tip | Model | Odds | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tusker or draw (1X) | 71% | 1.28 | 78% | -7 |
| NG, a clean sheet for one side | 58% | 1.58 | 63% | -5 |
| Pick | Odds | Return | After 20% tax |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tusker or draw (1X) | 1.28 | KSh 128 | KSh 122 |
| NG, a clean sheet for one side | 1.58 | KSh 158 | KSh 147 |
Recent results
Tusker and Mara Sugar results before this game
Tusker has two wins, one draw and two losses in their last five games, scoring five and conceding four goals. Mara Sugar recorded one win, three draws and one loss over their last five matches, scoring five and conceding five goals.
Tusker vs Mara Sugar H2H
Over their last five meetings, Tusker won three times, Mara Sugar once, and one match ended in a draw. The latest meeting on 24 April 2026 saw Mara Sugar win 1-0 away at Tusker.
KPL standings for both sides
Tusker sits 16th with three points from two games, scoring three and conceding two goals. Mara Sugar is 7th with six points from four games, scoring four and conceding three goals.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Tusker | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 | Mara Sugar | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
Tusker vs Mara Sugar: time, tip and odds
What time is Tusker vs Mara Sugar in Kenya?
Tusker and Mara Sugar kick off at 15:00 Kenya time (EAT) on Monday 2 November 2026.
What is the Tusker vs Mara Sugar prediction today?
We go with Tusker or draw (1X), which the model rates at 71%. It splits the result 38% for Tusker, 33% for a draw and 29% for Mara Sugar, so read the pick as a chance rather than a sure win.
What are the Tusker vs Mara Sugar odds?
At 00:00 EAT, Paripesa had Tusker at 2.37, the draw at 2.76 and Mara Sugar at 3.08. Lines shift before kick-off, so set them against the fair odds in the pick table.
GG or NG in Tusker vs Mara Sugar?
NG: the model expects at least one blank scoresheet, at 58%.