Fixtures
KPL predictions today and this week
KPL predictions today and for the rest of the week sit in kick-off order, with the pick, the chance and its fair price on each row. A match page opens about 40 hours before kick-off with both clubs' last five results, their recent meetings and the table positions.
A club needs three league games before its matches get a tip, and postponed games drop off the list until FKF sets a new date. Fixtures further ahead show the day their tip opens.
Next fixtures
Standings
KPL table behind the tips
| # | Team | P | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 5 | 12 pts | |
| 2 | KCB | 5 | 10 pts | |
| 3 | AFC Leopards | 5 | 9 pts | |
| 4 | Kenya Police | 5 | 8 pts | |
| 5 | 3K | 5 | 8 pts | |
| 6 | Murang'a Seal | 5 | 7 pts | |
| 7 | Tusker | 3 | 6 pts | |
| 8 | Migori Youth | 4 | 6 pts | |
| 9 | APS Bomet | 5 | 6 pts | |
| 10 | Shabana | 5 | 6 pts | |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 5 | 6 pts | |
| 12 | Mathare United | 5 | 5 pts | |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 5 | 5 pts | |
| 14 | Nairobi United | 5 | 4 pts | |
| 15 | Bandari | 5 | 4 pts | |
| 16 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 4 | 4 pts | |
| 17 | Posta Rangers | 5 | 4 pts | |
| 18 | Mombasa Elite | 5 | 1 pts |
Settled
Recent KPL tips and final scores
Settled KPL tips stay on the list with the final score and won or lost beside the pick. Each one counts in the hit rate on the results page, and postponed games are void.
The model
How the KPL tips are worked out
Kenya Premier League predictions run on the league table. Goals scored and conceded per game give each club an attack and a defence rating against the KPL average, and the home side’s expected goals get 12% added while the visitors lose 10%. A Poisson goals model turns those ratings into chances for every score.
The chances for home win, draw, away win, over 2.5 and GG come from that grid. When a partner bookmaker prices a KPL match, its odds join with 65% of the weight, the same blend used for the EPL.
A fair price is 100 divided by the chance: a 64% pick is worth 1.56. Any price above the fair figure on your betslip pays more than the risk, and a lower price pays less.
For punters
Kenya premier league prediction tips for multibets
Low-scoring KPL games push the goals line towards under 2.5 and NG, and many main tips land on a double chance because the draw rates high. A 1X pick at 72% is worth 1.39 at a fair price.
KPL legs suit a weekend multibet with EPL games because they settle earlier in the day. A slip with a KPL double chance and two EPL tips at 1.60 each has total odds near 3.50 when the KPL leg is priced at 1.37.
The KPL table carries the season tiles on goals and draws, and the KPL fixtures page lists the next two weeks of games with kick-off in EAT.
KPL tips FAQ
Why do some KPL games have no tip?
The model needs at least three league games for each club before it trusts the goals rates. Early-season games and clubs with postponed rounds can miss that mark.
Where do the KPL odds come from?
A partner bookmaker's line, when one prices the match. Without a line, each tip shows a fair price: the odds that match the model chance.
Are KPL draws common?
Draws make up a large share of KPL results this season. The season tiles on the KPL table page count the exact split between home wins, draws and away wins.
When is the next KPL round?
The next matchday sits at the top of the list with kick-off in EAT. The KPL fixtures page covers the next two weeks, including rearranged games.